The essay by McKibben illustrated the climate
change that the Adirondacks is predicted to be exposed to in the coming hundreds
of years, as well as unveiling the effects it will have on the culture of the
area itself. Towards the end of the essay, McKibben talks about the effect that
climate change will have on tourism in the Adirondacks. At first, the warming
climate is described as sending "paradoxical shivers down the backs of
some Adirondack business owners." Increasing temperatures would
drastically reduce tourism numbers for winter activities in the Adirondacks,
such as skiing. As displayed in the graph below, winter activities, like
snowmobiling and skiing, have the most economic potential in the
Adirondacks.
http://adirondackresearch.com/projects/tourism/hbperspective.html
What got me thinking, however, is the fact that
warming winters isn't a bad thing for many business owners in the Adirondacks.
McKibben mentions a quote from Art Devlin, saying "Summers are always
good, some are just better than others. Winters are always bad, some are just
not as bad as others." Although recreational snow activities may be the
one of the first things we think of when making a list of what brings tourism
into the Adirondacks, we must not forget the couple months of the year that
thrive in the warmer temperatures. In fact, James McKenna, president of the
visitors bureau in the Lake Placid regions says that 65-70% of receipts come between
Memorial Day and Columbus Day - during the summer months. What may be
completely devastating to one business may be essentially crucial to another.
There just doesn't seem to be a happy medium. So, with the onset of this climate
change, one side will prosper while the other side flounders. Its a matter of
determining how much the decrease in snow activities will effect economy of
tourism. From the graph above, it would appear as if it will have quite a large
effect. However, with the shifting climate, maybe we will experience a shift in
the prevalence of warm weathered recreational activities as well.
I began writing this post this morning, but our class today seemed to be distinctly pertinent to my post. In class today, we discussed the issue of whether adaptation or
mitigation was more prevalent in terms of the response method for climate change.
Recreationally, adaptation seems to by the most practical route. Climate change
happens on such a global scale that attempting to mitigate the issue seems
trivial. Adapting our activities to suit those of a warmer climate would both
benefit tourists as well as the economy of the Adirondacks as a whole.
I think your post is very interesting, and some industries may benefit from climate change. However, summer recreational activities will not expand to year round (at least in the near future). So, while kayaking and rafting businesses might benefit from an extended summer season, it would seem that restaurants, boutiques, and other businesses reliant on tourism would suffer throughout the majority of the year. Even the autumn months might start to draw less tourists as forests evolve to largely oak and hickory and fall foliage becomes less vibrant.
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